Lifestyle-Related Cancers

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HPV-related Cancers in Mississippi, 2003-2021

The Human Papilloma Virus (HPV) increases the risk of certain types of cancer.  A vaccine is available that can prevent the most common cancer-causing types of HPV.  Unfortunately, data from the 2021 National Immunization Survey-Teen reported by the National Cancer Institute’s State Cancer Profiles shows that only 32.7% of Mississippi teens between ages 13 and 17 have received two or more doses of the HPV vaccination.  Mississippi has the lowest rate of vaccination in the U.S.1  Cancers associated with HPV infections include squamous cell carcinoma of the oropharynx, rectum, anus, vagina, vulva, and penis, as well as, carcinoma of the cervix.   Below are graphs of the trends in HPV-related cancers over the period 2003 to 2021 by race and sex where the counts allow for such breakdown with a description of the trends occurring in each group both for the full time period and for the most recent period between 2017 and 2021.  All analysis was done using SEER*Stat software2.

Line graph of Invasive Oropharyngeal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Rate, Mississippi, 2003-2021.
*Rates age-adjusted to the 2000 U.S. standard million population. Click here to read long description.

Approximately 70% of squamous cell carcinomas of the oropharyngeal cancers are likely associated with HPV.3  Additionally, cancers of the oral cavity and pharynx including the oropharynx can be associated with other modifiable risk factors, tobacco and alcohol use.  The rate of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma cannot be broken down by both race and sex due to how rare this cancer is particularly in black females.  Over the period from 2003 to 2021, the white population had significantly higher rates of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma than the black population in 2008, 2012, 2014, 2016, and 2017-2021.  Between 2003 and 2016, the white population experienced a significant increase of 3.60% annually.  Then, between 2016 and 2021, the white population experienced an observed decrease of 5.08% annually.  These patterns translate into an observed average annual percent increase of 1.1% over the full time period of 2003-2021 for the white population.  Between 2003 and 2013, the black population experienced an observed increase of 0.75% annually.  Then, between 2013 and 2021, the black population experienced a significant decrease of 5.63% annually.  These patterns translate into an observed average annual decrease of 2.1%.  The graph clearly demonstrates the widening of the gap between the rates of the white and black populations beginning in 2011.  For the latest five-year time period between 2017 and 2021, the trend for the white population was a decrease of 4.06% annually.  The rate for the black population during this period decreased at a rate of 8.49% annually.  The changes for both groups between 2017 and 2021 were not statistically significant.

Line graph of Invasive Anal and Rectal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Rate, Mississippi, 2003-2021.
*Rates age-adjusted to the 2000 U.S. standard million population. Click here to read long description.

Approximately 91% of the squamous cell carcinomas of the anus and rectum are associated with HPV infection.4  Cancers of the rectum can also be associated with other modifiable risk factors, tobacco use, alcohol use, and obesity.  Squamous cell carcinoma of the anus and rectum are rare cancers.  Thus, the data can only be presented for Mississippi as a whole and not broken down by race and sex.  Between 2003 and 2021, the rates for squamous cell carcinoma of the rectum and anus increased significantly at a rate of 1.62% annually.  The greatest increases were seen in both white and black females.  For the latest five-year time period between 2017 and 2021, anal and rectal squamous cell carcinoma was observed to be decreasing at a rate of 2.55% annually, though this change was not statistically significant. 

Line graph of Invasive Vulvar Squamous Cell Carcinoma Rate, Mississippi, 2003-2021.
*Rates age-adjusted to the 2000 U.S. standard million population. Click here to read long description.

Approximately 69% of squamous cell carcinomas of the vulva are associated with HPV infection.3  Squamous cell carcinoma of the vulva is a rare cancer.  Therefore, the rates cannot be broken out by race.  For the time period between 2003 and 2021, the rates of squamous cell carcinoma of the vulva increased at a rate of 1.04% annually, though this change is not statistically significant.  In the most recent five-year time period between 2017 and 2021, the squamous cell carcinoma of the vulva decreased at a rate of 9.33% annually, though this decrease was not statistically significant due to the small number of cases.

Line graph of Invasive Vaginal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Rate, Mississippi, 2003-2021.
*Rates age-adjusted to the 2000 U.S. standard million population. Click here to read long description.

Approximately 75% of the squamous cell carcinomas of the vagina are associated with an HPV infection.3  Squamous cell carcinoma of the vagina is also a rare cancer.  Therefore, the rates cannot be broken out by race.  For the time period between 2003 and 2021, the rates of squamous cell carcinoma of the vagina remained relatively stable with only a 0.24% decrease annually.  However, for the latest five-year time period between 2017 and 2021, the rate of squamous cell carcinoma of the vagina rose 2.88% annually.  This change was not statistically significant.

Line graph of Invasive Penis Squamous Cell Carcinoma Rate, Mississippi, 2003-2021.
*Rates age-adjusted to the 2000 U.S. standard million population. Click here to read long description.

Approximately 63% of squamous cell carcinomas of the penis are associated with HPV infection.3  Like most of the other HPV-related cancers, squamous cell carcinoma of the penis is a rare cancer.  Therefore, the rates cannot be broken out by race.  For the time period between 2003 and 2021, the rates of squamous cell carcinoma of the penis increased 1.19% annually though this increase was not significant due to the small number of cases.  For the latest five-year time period between 2017 and 2021, the rate of squamous cell carcinoma of the penis increased 4.11% annually.  This change was not statistically significant.

Line graph of Invasive Cervical Carcinoma Rate, Mississippi, 2003-2021.
*Rates age-adjusted to the 2000 U.S. standard million population. Click here to read long description.

Approximately 91% of cervical carcinomas are associated with an HPV infection.3  Cancers of the cervix uteri can also be associated with another modifiable risk factor, tobacco use.  The rates of cervical carcinoma were higher for black females than white females between 2003 and 2015, but this difference was only statistically significant for 2003, 2004, 2006, 2009, 2010, and 2013.  Over the time period from 2003 to 2021, the rate for black females dropped significantly at a rate of 2.17% annually.  The rate for white females increased at a rate of 1.30% annually.  This increase was not statistically significant.  Over the latest five-year period of 2017 to 2021, the rate for white females slightly decreased 0.10% annually, though this change was not statistically significant.  The rate for black females increased 1.15% annually, though the change was not statistically significant.  The falling rate for black females coupled with the observed increasing rate for white females closed the disparity between the two groups.

Line graph of Invasive HPV-related Cancer Incidence Rate, Mississippi, 2003-2021.
*Rates age-adjusted to the 2000 U.S. standard million population. Click here to read long description.

The rates of all HPV-related cancers are primarily driven by oropharyngeal carcinoma and cervical carcinoma.  During the period from 2003 to 2021, the rate for white males and white females significantly increased.  White males experienced an annual increase of 1.85%, and white females experienced an increase of 1.88% annually.  Conversely, the rates for both black males and black females decreased, though the change was only statistically significant for black females.  Black males experienced a decrease of 1.11% annually, and black females experienced a significant decrease 1.45%. 

For the most recent five-year time period from 2017-2021, the rates for all groups except white males decreased, though not significantly.  The rate for white females decreased 1.21% annually, and the rate for black females decreased 2.27% annually.  For black males, the rate decreased 6.08% annually.  For white males, the rate increased slightly at a rate of 0.27%.

Definitions

Age Adjusting:  A statistical method that allows comparisons of populations that take into account age-distribution differences between the populations.  The 2000 U.S. standard population is used and applied to all of the time periods being considered.  This assures that the rates do not reflect differences in the age distribution of the population.

Annual Percent Change (APC):  The average annual percent change over several years.  It is used to measure the change in rates over time.  Calculating the APC involves fitting a straight line to the natural logarithm of the data when it is displayed by calendar year.

Statistical Significance:  This is a mathematical measure of the difference between groups.  A difference is said to be statistically significant if it is greater than what might be expected to happen by chance alone 95% of the time.  Rate ratios were used to assess the statistical significance between groups. 

Citations

1The National Immunization Survey - Teen, Hyattsville, MD: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.  Created by statecancerprofiles.cancer.gov on 06/03/2024 1:05 pm.

2Surveillance Research Program, National Cancer Institute SEER*Stat software (seer.cancer.gov/seerstat) version 8.4.3.

3Division of Cancer Prevention and Control, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.  Cancer Linked with HPV Each Year [online]. 2023. [accessed May 17, 2024]. URL: https://www.cdc.gov/cancer/hpv/statistics/cases.htm

Source of Data:  SEER*Stat Database: MS0221. Created on 4/2/2024. Mississippi Cancer Registry 2023 Submission (2002-2021) to Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Program of Cancer Registries.

Acknowledgement

We acknowledge the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for their financial support under a cooperative agreement awarded to the Mississippi Cancer Registry.